Demand analysis of forging industry in the next five years

Based on the current state of economic development, population base and urban traffic conditions, the automobile industry has entered the popularization period of slow growth, and high-quality development has become the main line of supply-side reform. With the development of the automobile industry in the next five years, the forging industry needs to adjust its development ideas and look for opportunities. The possible demands are as follows.

1) Upgrade products, make up the gap between domestic and foreign, and accelerate the expansion of localization in segmented fields.

2) Automatic, unmanned forging, to meet the needs of large volume and stable production of automobile industry.

3) The lightweight of steel forgings (materials, structure and process) and aluminum alloy and other light materials brought by the lightweight of automobile are further developed.

4) The quality of automobile products is improving rapidly, and the requirements for forging quality are becoming higher and higher

5) new energy vehicles has become the "future star", will gradually become future investment direction, the traditional big parts are in terms of automation, digital and information technology, increasing investment in forging press equipment, such as the development of many new models orders are flocking to the home, some enterprise this is also one of the reasons for an unusually busy.

Forging industry between enterprises will be opened grade

Over the past 20 years, China's forging industry has developed rapidly, but in the past time, from the overall level, enterprises are almost at the same level. After the development of recent years, some enterprises have come to the fore, and the following situations will appear in the future: enterprises that can produce the same type (kind) forgings in large quantities will become stable enterprises, including some joint ventures and wholly owned enterprises; Forgings producing enterprises with proprietary servo press technology will become risky enterprises with large profits. It is very difficult for forging enterprises without leading products to produce multifarious products. A group of forgings and machining firms will become component manufacturers, perhaps sourcing forgings; Other enterprises that do not meet the needs of development will gradually be eliminated and restructured.

According to the above situation, there will be a group of enterprises with professional production lines in the forging industry, and these enterprises will be new investment enterprises. According to the development experience of forging industry in various countries and the situation of forging market in China, it is expected that there will be about 100 forging enterprises in China in the next few years to influence the development trend of the industry, and finally there will be 350~400 enterprises in China's forging industry market.